Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.301703 0.404352 0.517590 0.649661 0.797579 0.956510 1.138652
2025-06-15 0.163124 0.293766 0.457052 0.665158 0.914555 1.196844 1.534284
2025-06-22 0.090922 0.222308 0.406277 0.657130 0.971800 1.339596 1.790062
2025-06-29 0.043230 0.163272 0.356285 0.638303 1.007322 1.450797 2.004955
2025-07-06 0.025161 0.142608 0.353047 0.675017 1.107366 1.635441 2.302815
2025-07-13 0.014451 0.129292 0.357093 0.719109 1.215124 1.828389 2.609902
2025-07-20 0.007025 0.116397 0.358470 0.757296 1.313778 2.009214 2.901834
2025-07-27 0.004323 0.115967 0.380345 0.824756 1.450924 2.237867 3.251717
2025-08-03 0.001507 0.107989 0.386776 0.868338 1.555604 2.425645 3.551921
2025-08-10 NaN 0.089752 0.370128 0.874974 1.609068 2.548097 3.771887
2025-08-17 NaN 0.059162 0.319692 0.824339 1.580919 2.564725 3.860306
2025-08-24 NaN 0.034733 0.271068 0.770375 1.543993 2.567122 3.928695
2025-08-31 NaN 0.020807 0.241841 0.747698 1.553247 2.633123 4.082053
2025-09-07 NaN 0.015268 0.235360 0.764343 1.619935 2.775492 4.332897
2025-09-14 NaN 0.008361 0.216398 0.755714 1.647786 2.865312 4.516410
2025-09-21 NaN 0.003015 0.192928 0.735440 1.656555 2.928696 4.665756
2025-09-28 NaN 0.002474 0.199930 0.774954 1.756037 3.113933 4.970394
2025-10-05 NaN 0.002362 0.210770 0.822314 1.867683 3.315768 5.296481
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001985 0.218455 0.863256 1.969550 3.504527 5.606049
2025-10-19 NaN 0.002988 0.241338 0.935424 2.119633 3.758664 5.999475
2025-10-26 NaN 0.002815 0.251654 0.981951 2.230363 3.959738 6.325228
2025-11-02 NaN 0.001211 0.242905 0.989030 2.280194 4.078409 6.545598
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.206463 0.934979 2.233571 4.065137 6.596050